|
17 Jan 2027-12:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
AC Milan 53%
Draw 22%
Torino 25%
2.0 – 1.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
10% chance
Most Likely Score
63%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
MIL · at home
TOR · away
2.60
Goals scored per game
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded per game
1.20
1.63x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.93x
0.93x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.75x
Average: 1.60 home goals and 1.51 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 11 + 11 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
16
13
5
34
80
12
14
22
70
11
9
20
15
44
23
77
21
28
45
10
18
17
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Genoa (A) 1-2 · 8 Nov 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-1-2
vs Lecce (H) 1-1 · 7 Nov 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
D
W
D
D
W
2.18
7-3-1
PPG Overall
2.40
4-0-1
PPG at Home
2.00
3-3-0
PPG Away
D
L
L
W
W
D
L
L
W
W
W
D
L
W
L
1.27
4-2-5
PPG Overall
1.17
2-1-3
PPG at Home
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Away
Venue form: AC Milan at home +71% on points per game vs Torino away (2.40 vs 1.40)
Rest & Schedule
70
days rest
Genoa 1-2 AC Milan
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
71
days rest
Torino 1-1 Lecce
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
11
5
6
Win %
64%
80%
50%
Goals per game
3.27
4.00
2.67
Scored
2.09
2.60
1.67
Conceded
1.18
1.40
1.00
Both teams scored
73%
60%
83%
Clean sheets
27%
40%
17%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
1.68
1.90
1.49
xGA
1.31
1.32
1.31
Overall
Home
Away
Played
11
6
5
Win %
36%
33%
40%
Goals per game
2.91
3.17
2.60
Scored
1.36
1.33
1.40
Conceded
1.55
1.83
1.20
Both teams scored
73%
83%
60%
Clean sheets
9%
0%
20%
Failed to score
18%
17%
20%
xG
1.23
1.38
1.04
xGA
1.45
1.33
1.59
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
AC Milan
MIL
Torino
TOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 11/11
100% 11/11
100%
–
Over 1.5
100% 11/11
100% 11/11
100%
85%
Over 2.5
64% 7/11
64% 7/11
64%
60%
Over 3.5
36% 4/11
18% 2/11
27%
32%
Over 4.5
18% 2/11
9% 1/11
14%
–
Under 2.5
36% 4/11
36% 4/11
36%
40%
Both teams score
BTTS
73% 8/11
73% 8/11
73%
58%
BTTS & win
36% 4/11
27% 3/11
32%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
55% 6/11
55% 6/11
55%
–
AC Milan
MIL
Torino
TOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
64% 7/11
64% 7/11
64%
–
Over 1.5
45% 5/11
27% 3/11
36%
–
Over 2.5
18% 2/11
0% 0/11
9%
–
BTTS
18% 2/11
18% 2/11
18%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (110 games, 3.11 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
AC Milan scored 13 in 5 home games
Torino scored 7 in 5 away games
AC Milan
MIL
Torino
TOR
Scored over 0.5
100% 11/11
82% 9/11
Scored over 1.5
82% 9/11
36% 4/11
Scored over 2.5
27% 3/11
18% 2/11
Failed to score
0% 0/11
18% 2/11
Goals conceded per game at this venue
AC Milan conceded 7 in 5 home games
Torino conceded 6 in 5 away games
AC Milan
MIL
Torino
TOR
Conceded over 0.5
73% 8/11
91% 10/11
Conceded over 1.5
27% 3/11
55% 6/11
Conceded over 2.5
9% 1/11
9% 1/11
Clean sheets
27% 3/11
9% 1/11
Streaks
Match Totals
AC Milan
MIL
Torino
TOR
League
Corners
Corners won
2.73
3.82
–
Corners conceded
4.00
4.64
–
Match total
6.73
8.45
9.75
Over 8.5
18% 2/11
36% 4/11
–
Over 9.5
9% 1/11
18% 2/11
–
Over 10.5
9% 1/11
18% 2/11
–
Cards
Cards
1.91
1.00
–
Opponent cards
1.55
1.18
–
Match total
3.45
2.18
3.33
Over 3.5
45% 5/11
27% 3/11
–
Over 4.5
27% 3/11
9% 1/11
–
Shots
Shots
11.45
10.64
–
Opponent shots
11.27
15.27
–
Match total
22.73
25.91
29.15
Shots on target
On target
4.45
3.55
–
Opponent on target
4.36
4.45
–
Match total
8.82
8.00
–
Fouls
Fouls
9.91
9.91
–
Opponent fouls
12.64
11.45
–
Match total
22.55
21.36
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.00
1.82
–
Opponent offsides
2.18
1.82
–
Match total
3.18
3.64
–
Possession
All games
59%
50%
–
Home games
58%
46%
–
Away games
60%
55%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (110 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
AC Milan
Scored · 23
26%
13%
9%
4%
44%
4%
Conceded · 13
15%
8%
8%
8%
23%
38%
Torino
Scored · 15
7%
13%
20%
7%
33%
20%
Conceded · 17
6%
0%
18%
18%
17%
41%
82%
Scored first
45%
4%
Goals after 75'
20%
Scored first: AC Milan 9 of 11, Torino 5 of 11 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
Leading 6
Level 4
Trailing 1
2.00
points per game
At half-time
83%
5 of 6
Led at HT, won
100%
1 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
At half-time
Leading 3
Level 6
Trailing 2
1.36
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
50%
1 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 7 games
4
7
Points dropped from winning positions in 10 · 6 games
5
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
2
9
1
1
28
13
15
28
3
8
3
0
31
10
21
27
4
7
3
1
23
13
10
24
5
7
2
2
18
10
8
23
6
6
2
3
24
15
9
20
···
10
4
3
4
18
14
4
15
11
4
2
5
17
20
-3
14
12
4
2
5
15
17
-2
14
13
4
1
6
11
16
-5
13
14
3
1
7
12
22
-10
10
···
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