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2 Mar 2027-2:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
Bayern München 75%
Draw 14%
SC Freiburg 11%
2.9 – 1.1
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-1
8% chance
Most Likely Score
77%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
BAY · at home
FRE · away
5.00
Goals scored per game
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded per game
1.25
2.35x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.10x
0.74x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.59x
Average: 2.12 home goals and 1.36 away goals per game in Bundesliga 2026-2027
Based on 9 + 9 Bundesliga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
1
44
4
2
27
45
6
11
42
17
9
1
33
3
28
29
16
8
7
14
19
31
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs FSV Mainz 05 (A) 1-2 · 7 Nov 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Union Berlin (H) 2-0 · 8 Nov 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
D
W
W
D
W
D
W
W
D
W
W
D
W
2.33
6-3-0
PPG Overall
2.50
3-1-0
PPG at Home
2.20
3-2-0
PPG Away
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
D
W
W
W
2.11
6-1-2
PPG Overall
2.40
4-0-1
PPG at Home
1.75
2-1-1
PPG Away
Venue form: Bayern München at home +43% on points per game vs SC Freiburg away (2.50 vs 1.75)
Rest & Schedule
115
days rest
FSV Mainz 05 1-2 Bayern München
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
114
days rest
SC Freiburg 2-0 Union Berlin
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
4
5
Win %
67%
75%
60%
Goals per game
4.22
6.00
2.80
Scored
3.22
5.00
1.80
Conceded
1.00
1.00
1.00
Both teams scored
78%
75%
80%
Clean sheets
22%
25%
20%
Failed to score
11%
0%
20%
xG
3.45
3.93
3.07
xGA
0.88
0.69
1.03
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
5
4
Win %
67%
80%
50%
Goals per game
3.33
3.80
2.75
Scored
2.22
2.80
1.50
Conceded
1.11
1.00
1.25
Both teams scored
67%
60%
75%
Clean sheets
33%
40%
25%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
1.86
1.95
1.75
xGA
1.16
0.86
1.53
Bundesliga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Bayern München
BAY
SC Freiburg
FRE
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
89% 8/9
100% 9/9
94%
–
Over 1.5
89% 8/9
89% 8/9
89%
81%
Over 2.5
89% 8/9
78% 7/9
83%
70%
Over 3.5
67% 6/9
44% 4/9
56%
51%
Over 4.5
33% 3/9
22% 2/9
28%
–
Under 2.5
11% 1/9
22% 2/9
17%
30%
Both teams score
BTTS
78% 7/9
67% 6/9
72%
60%
BTTS & win
56% 5/9
33% 3/9
44%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
78% 7/9
67% 6/9
72%
–
Bayern München
BAY
SC Freiburg
FRE
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
89% 8/9
89% 8/9
89%
–
Over 1.5
33% 3/9
67% 6/9
50%
–
Over 2.5
22% 2/9
11% 1/9
17%
–
BTTS
0% 0/9
33% 3/9
17%
–
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (81 games, 3.48 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
Bayern München scored 20 in 4 home games
SC Freiburg scored 6 in 4 away games
Bayern München
BAY
SC Freiburg
FRE
Scored over 0.5
89% 8/9
100% 9/9
Scored over 1.5
89% 8/9
67% 6/9
Scored over 2.5
44% 4/9
22% 2/9
Failed to score
11% 1/9
0% 0/9
Goals conceded per game at this venue
Bayern München conceded 4 in 4 home games
SC Freiburg conceded 5 in 4 away games
Bayern München
BAY
SC Freiburg
FRE
Conceded over 0.5
78% 7/9
67% 6/9
Conceded over 1.5
22% 2/9
33% 3/9
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/9
11% 1/9
Clean sheets
22% 2/9
33% 3/9
Streaks
9
Unbeaten all 9 this season
7
Scored in a row
7
Over 2.5 goals in a row
5
Conceded in a row
2
Longest win run this season
2
Won in a row
9
Scored all 9 this season
3
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Bayern München
BAY
SC Freiburg
FRE
League
Corners
Corners won
8.56
4.78
–
Corners conceded
3.33
3.22
–
Match total
11.89
8.00
10.43
Over 8.5
89% 8/9
44% 4/9
–
Over 9.5
89% 8/9
22% 2/9
–
Over 10.5
89% 8/9
22% 2/9
–
Cards
Cards
1.00
2.11
–
Opponent cards
1.89
1.56
–
Match total
2.89
3.67
3.79
Over 3.5
44% 4/9
67% 6/9
–
Over 4.5
0% 0/9
22% 2/9
–
Shots
Shots
23.56
15.89
–
Opponent shots
9.44
10.11
–
Match total
33.00
26.00
30.56
Shots on target
On target
9.44
5.22
–
Opponent on target
3.11
3.22
–
Match total
12.56
8.44
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.33
9.67
–
Opponent fouls
8.78
13.33
–
Match total
19.11
23.00
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.33
0.78
–
Opponent offsides
1.67
1.78
–
Match total
4.00
2.56
–
Possession
All games
66%
52%
–
Home games
61%
54%
–
Away games
70%
49%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (81 games) · Bundesliga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Bayern München
Scored · 29
7%
18%
17%
24%
17%
17%
Conceded · 9
11%
0%
0%
22%
22%
45%
SC Freiburg
Scored · 20
10%
20%
10%
20%
10%
30%
Conceded · 10
10%
40%
20%
0%
0%
30%
88%
Scored first
67%
17%
Goals after 75'
30%
Scored first: Bayern München 7 of 8, SC Freiburg 6 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Bundesliga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
Leading 7
Level 1
Trailing 1
2.44
points per game
At half-time
86%
6 of 7
Led at HT, won
100%
1 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
At half-time
Leading 3
Level 3
Trailing 3
1.33
points per game
At half-time
100%
3 of 3
Led at HT, won
67%
2 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1
Points won from losing positions in 1 · 4 games
4
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 7 games
3
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Bundesliga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
6
3
0
29
9
20
21
2
6
3
0
16
7
9
21
3
6
1
2
20
10
10
19
4
6
0
3
27
13
14
18
5
5
1
3
20
17
3
16
···
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