LaLiga 2026-2027 | Matchweek 28
| 14 Mar 2027-12:00 pm
Elche
d d w l l
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Villarreal
l w l l w
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
Elche 5% Draw 12% Villarreal 83%
0.6 – 2.7 goals per side Expected Goals
0-2 14% chance Most Likely Score
64% model Over 2.5 Goals
40% model Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
ELC · at home VIL · away
0.67 Goals scored per game 1.50
2.33 Goals conceded per game 1.33
0.41x Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average 1.17x
1.83x Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better 0.83x
Average: 1.61 home goals and 1.28 away goals per game in LaLiga 2026-2027
Based on 12 + 12 LaLiga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
LaLiga 2026-2027
Matchweek 28
BAR
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COR
LaLiga 2026-2027
Matchweek 28
BIL
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VAL
LaLiga 2026-2027
Matchweek 28
MAL
- : -
RAY
LaLiga 2026-2027
Matchweek 28
REA
- : -
ESP
LaLiga 2026-2027
Matchweek 28
ALA
- : -
SEV
LaLiga 2026-2027
Matchweek 28
BET
- : -
LEV
LaLiga 2026-2027
Matchweek 28
GET
- : -
RSO
LaLiga 2026-2027
Matchweek 28
OSA
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CEL
LaLiga 2026-2027
Matchweek 28
ELC
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VIL
LaLiga 2026-2027
Matchweek 28
SAN
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ATM
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Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
1
M. Dituro
3
R. Revivo
23
Víctor Chust
5
F. Redondo
22
Rubén Sánchez
29
Ali Houary
47
J. Morcillo
16
Martim Neto
11
Germán Valera
14
Fer Niño
21
L. Cepeda
25
P. Gulácsi
20
Carlos Romero
12
Renato Veiga
2
Logan Costa
15
S. Mouriño
10
Alberto Moleiro
18
P. Gueye
16
C. Macia
17
T. Buchanan
9
G. Mikautadze
21
T. Oluwaseyi
field field
Elche
Last game lineup 4-3-3 vs Real Betis (H) 0-2 · 8 Nov 2026
Villarreal
Last game lineup 4-4-2 vs Getafe (H) 2-0 · 8 Nov 2026
Head to Head1 meeting
17 Oct 2026 Villarreal 0-0 Elche
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents6 shared this season · 5 most recent
Opponent Elche ELC Villarreal VIL
Deportivo La Coruna D 1-1 A L 2-3 H
Points on these 5 4 of 15 · 0.80 per game 3 of 15 · 0.60 per game
Form & Points per Game
Elche Home
L L W D D
0.83 2-4-6 PPG Overall
0.17 0-1-5 PPG at Home
1.50 2-3-1 PPG Away
L 08 Nov 26 HReal Betis 0-2
L 01 Nov 26 HValencia 0-1
W 24 Oct 26 ARayo Vallecano 3-0
D 17 Oct 26 AVillarreal 0-0
D 11 Oct 26 HCelta Vigo 0-0
Villarreal Away
W L W D L
1.25 4-3-5 PPG Overall
1.17 2-1-3 PPG at Home
1.33 2-2-2 PPG Away
W 08 Nov 26 HGetafe 2-0
L 30 Oct 26 HEspanyol 0-1
W 24 Oct 26 AValencia 2-1
D 17 Oct 26 HElche 0-0
L 10 Oct 26 AReal Madrid 0-1
Venue form: Villarreal away +682% on points per game vs Elche at home (1.33 vs 0.17)
Rest & Scheduleall competitions
126 days rest
Last game · Sun 8 Nov 2026 · LaLiga 2026-2027 Elche 0-2 Real Betis 0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days Next · Sun 21 Mar · Sevilla v Elche (A)
126 days rest
Last game · Sun 8 Nov 2026 · LaLiga 2026-2027 Villarreal 2-0 Getafe 0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days Next · Sun 21 Mar · Villarreal v Malaga (H)
Team Comparison12 / 12 games
Elche Home
Overall Home Away
Played 12 6 6
Win % 17% 0% 33%
Goals per game 2.83 3.00 2.67
Scored 1.17 0.67 1.67
Conceded 1.67 2.33 1.00
Both teams scored 50% 33% 67%
Clean sheets 25% 17% 33%
Failed to score 42% 67% 17%
xG 1.24 1.22 1.26
xGA 1.79 2.01 1.57
Villarreal Away
Overall Home Away
Played 12 6 6
Win % 33% 33% 33%
Goals per game 2.67 2.50 2.83
Scored 1.42 1.33 1.50
Conceded 1.25 1.17 1.33
Both teams scored 58% 50% 67%
Clean sheets 17% 33% 0%
Failed to score 33% 33% 33%
xG 2.01 2.17 1.85
xGA 1.06 1.00 1.11
LaLiga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Elche ELC Villarreal VIL Average Avg League
Over 0.5 83% 10/12 92% 11/12 88% –
Over 1.5 75% 9/12 67% 8/12 71% 76%
Over 2.5 50% 6/12 58% 7/12 54% 55%
Over 3.5 42% 5/12 42% 5/12 42% 32%
Over 4.5 33% 4/12 8% 1/12 21% –
Under 2.5 50% 6/12 42% 5/12 46% 45%
Both teams score
BTTS 50% 6/12 58% 7/12 54% 55%
BTTS & win 8% 1/12 25% 3/12 17% –
BTTS & over 2.5 33% 4/12 58% 7/12 46% –
% of each club's games · League = LaLiga 2026-2027 (119 games, 2.89 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
Elche scored 4 in 6 home games Villarreal scored 9 in 6 away games
Elche ELC Villarreal VIL
Scored over 0.5 58% 7/12 67% 8/12
Scored over 1.5 42% 5/12 58% 7/12
Scored over 2.5 17% 2/12 17% 2/12
Failed to score 42% 5/12 33% 4/12
Streakscurrent runs · LaLiga 2026-2027
2 Lost in a row
2 Conceded in a row
2 Failed to score in a row
1 Won last game
2 Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Elche ELC Villarreal VIL League
Corners
Corners won 4.92 7.42 –
Corners conceded 4.58 4.42 –
Match total 9.50 11.83 9.73
Over 8.5 33% 4/12 75% 9/12 –
Over 9.5 33% 4/12 75% 9/12 –
Over 10.5 33% 4/12 67% 8/12 –
Cards
Cards 2.75 2.08 –
Opponent cards 1.92 3.08 –
Match total 4.67 5.17 4.75
Over 3.5 83% 10/12 83% 10/12 –
Over 4.5 58% 7/12 58% 7/12 –
Shots
Shots 12.00 16.83 –
Opponent shots 14.58 10.92 –
Match total 26.58 27.75 27.04
Shots on target
On target 4.25 5.83 –
Opponent on target 4.67 3.33 –
Match total 8.92 9.17 –
Fouls
Fouls 12.75 10.83 –
Opponent fouls 13.08 12.42 –
Match total 25.83 23.25 –
Offsides
Offsides 1.58 2.73 –
Opponent offsides 4.08 1.73 –
Match total 5.67 4.45 –
Possession
All games 51% 62% –
Home games 57% 63% –
Away games 46% 60% –
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = LaLiga 2026-2027 (119 games) · LaLiga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timingshare of each club's goals by 15-minute period
0-15 16-30 31-45 46-60 61-75 76-90+
Elche
Scored · 14 0% 21% 7% 7% 29% 36%
Conceded · 20 15% 15% 20% 0% 20% 30%
Villarreal
Scored · 17 0% 12% 29% 6% 12% 41%
Conceded · 15 7% 7% 47% 13% 6% 20%
30% Scored first 36%
36% Goals after 75' 41%
Scored first: Elche 3 of 10, Villarreal 4 of 11 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · LaLiga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
17%42%42%
Leading 2 Level 5 Trailing 5
0.92 points per game At half-time
100% 2 of 2 Led at HT, won
20% 1 of 5 Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 10
At half-time
8%67%25%
Leading 1 Level 8 Trailing 3
0.92 points per game At half-time
100% 1 of 1 Led at HT, won
33% 1 of 3 Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 10
1 Points won from losing positions in 7 · 9 games 8
2 Points dropped from winning positions in 3 · 7 games 8
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · LaLiga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely ScorersLaLiga 2026-2027
Elche 14 goals
1 Fer Niño 1 pen 6 0.69 per 90 43%
2 Germán Valera 2 0.18 per 90 14%
3 A. Osorio 1 0.26 per 90 7%
4 F. Buonanotte 1 pen 1 0.25 per 90 7%
5 Marc Aguado 1 0.24 per 90 7%
Villarreal 17 goals
1 G. Mikautadze 1 pen 3 0.41 per 90 18%
2 P. Gueye 1 pen 3 0.33 per 90 18%
3 Gerard Moreno 1 pen 2 0.41 per 90 12%
4 N. Pépé 2 0.35 per 90 12%
5 Alberto Moleiro 2 0.25 per 90 12%
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Booking RiskLaLiga 2026-2027
Elche 2.75 cards / game
Cards per 90
1 F. Redondo 0.55 3 yellow · 1 red · 652 min
2 Gonzalo Villar 0.41 4 yellow · 869 min
3 L. Cepeda 0.35 2 yellow · 520 min
4 Tete Morente 0.33 2 yellow · 543 min
5 J. Morcillo 0.24 2 yellow · 745 min
Villarreal 2.08 cards / game
Cards per 90
1 J. Foyth 0.56 3 yellow · 482 min
2 Santi Comesaña 0.45 3 yellow · 604 min
3 T. Buchanan 0.42 3 yellow · 636 min
4 Renato Veiga 0.36 4 yellow · 990 min
5 S. Mouriño 0.31 2 yellow · 580 min
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
StandingsLaLiga 2026-2027 · before kick‑off
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
7
d l w w d
>
11
4
4
3
15
11
4
16
8
12
3
6
3
15
14
1
15
9
l d w l w
>
12
4
3
5
17
15
2
15
10
d l w l w
>
12
4
2
6
17
30
-13
14
11
l l d l d
>
12
3
4
5
15
17
-2
13
···
16
d d l w l
>
11
3
3
5
15
21
-6
12
17
d w l l d
>
12
2
5
5
16
21
-5
11
18
d d w l l
>
12
2
4
6
14
20
-6
10
19
d d l w l
>
12
2
3
7
8
20
-12
9
20
d l d l l
>
12
0
5
7
9
23
-14
5
Latest Games
Elche
D D W L L
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- 8:00 am
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1.25
xG
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24 Oct 2026
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Elche
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17 Oct 2026
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Elche
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11 Oct 2026
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0.78
xG
0.47
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Celta Vigo
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L W L L W
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- 12:30 pm
Villarreal
2.38
xG
0.68
2 0
Getafe
UEFA Champions League
3 Nov 2026
- 3:00 pm
Villarreal
0.66
xG
2.69
0 6
Paris Saint Germain
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30 Oct 2026
- 4:00 pm
Villarreal
0.96
xG
0.27
0 1
Espanyol
LaLiga
24 Oct 2026
- 12:30 pm
Valencia
1.13
xG
1.50
1 2
Villarreal
UEFA Champions League
20 Oct 2026
- 3:00 pm
Liverpool
2.37
xG
1.58
4 3
Villarreal