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14 Mar 2027-12:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
Elche 5%
Draw 12%
Villarreal 83%
0.6 – 2.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-2
14% chance
Most Likely Score
64%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
ELC · at home
VIL · away
0.67
Goals scored per game
1.50
2.33
Goals conceded per game
1.33
0.41x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.17x
1.83x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.83x
Average: 1.61 home goals and 1.28 away goals per game in LaLiga 2026-2027
Based on 12 + 12 LaLiga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
1
3
23
5
22
29
47
16
11
14
21
25
20
12
2
15
10
18
16
17
9
21
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Real Betis (H) 0-2 · 8 Nov 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Getafe (H) 2-0 · 8 Nov 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
L
W
D
D
L
L
W
D
D
W
L
D
L
L
0.83
2-4-6
PPG Overall
0.17
0-1-5
PPG at Home
1.50
2-3-1
PPG Away
W
L
W
D
L
W
L
W
D
L
W
W
L
L
L
1.25
4-3-5
PPG Overall
1.17
2-1-3
PPG at Home
1.33
2-2-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Villarreal away +682% on points per game vs Elche at home (1.33 vs 0.17)
Rest & Schedule
126
days rest
Elche 0-2 Real Betis
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
126
days rest
Villarreal 2-0 Getafe
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
12
6
6
Win %
17%
0%
33%
Goals per game
2.83
3.00
2.67
Scored
1.17
0.67
1.67
Conceded
1.67
2.33
1.00
Both teams scored
50%
33%
67%
Clean sheets
25%
17%
33%
Failed to score
42%
67%
17%
xG
1.24
1.22
1.26
xGA
1.79
2.01
1.57
Overall
Home
Away
Played
12
6
6
Win %
33%
33%
33%
Goals per game
2.67
2.50
2.83
Scored
1.42
1.33
1.50
Conceded
1.25
1.17
1.33
Both teams scored
58%
50%
67%
Clean sheets
17%
33%
0%
Failed to score
33%
33%
33%
xG
2.01
2.17
1.85
xGA
1.06
1.00
1.11
LaLiga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Elche
ELC
Villarreal
VIL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
83% 10/12
92% 11/12
88%
–
Over 1.5
75% 9/12
67% 8/12
71%
76%
Over 2.5
50% 6/12
58% 7/12
54%
55%
Over 3.5
42% 5/12
42% 5/12
42%
32%
Over 4.5
33% 4/12
8% 1/12
21%
–
Under 2.5
50% 6/12
42% 5/12
46%
45%
Both teams score
BTTS
50% 6/12
58% 7/12
54%
55%
BTTS & win
8% 1/12
25% 3/12
17%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
33% 4/12
58% 7/12
46%
–
Elche
ELC
Villarreal
VIL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
58% 7/12
58% 7/12
58%
–
Over 1.5
50% 6/12
42% 5/12
46%
–
Over 2.5
8% 1/12
25% 3/12
17%
–
BTTS
0% 0/12
42% 5/12
21%
–
% of each club's games · League = LaLiga 2026-2027 (119 games, 2.89 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
Elche scored 4 in 6 home games
Villarreal scored 9 in 6 away games
Elche
ELC
Villarreal
VIL
Scored over 0.5
58% 7/12
67% 8/12
Scored over 1.5
42% 5/12
58% 7/12
Scored over 2.5
17% 2/12
17% 2/12
Failed to score
42% 5/12
33% 4/12
Goals conceded per game at this venue
Elche conceded 14 in 6 home games
Villarreal conceded 8 in 6 away games
Elche
ELC
Villarreal
VIL
Conceded over 0.5
75% 9/12
83% 10/12
Conceded over 1.5
42% 5/12
33% 4/12
Conceded over 2.5
33% 4/12
8% 1/12
Clean sheets
25% 3/12
17% 2/12
Streaks
2
Lost in a row
2
Conceded in a row
2
Failed to score in a row
1
Won last game
2
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Elche
ELC
Villarreal
VIL
League
Corners
Corners won
4.92
7.42
–
Corners conceded
4.58
4.42
–
Match total
9.50
11.83
9.73
Over 8.5
33% 4/12
75% 9/12
–
Over 9.5
33% 4/12
75% 9/12
–
Over 10.5
33% 4/12
67% 8/12
–
Cards
Cards
2.75
2.08
–
Opponent cards
1.92
3.08
–
Match total
4.67
5.17
4.75
Over 3.5
83% 10/12
83% 10/12
–
Over 4.5
58% 7/12
58% 7/12
–
Shots
Shots
12.00
16.83
–
Opponent shots
14.58
10.92
–
Match total
26.58
27.75
27.04
Shots on target
On target
4.25
5.83
–
Opponent on target
4.67
3.33
–
Match total
8.92
9.17
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.75
10.83
–
Opponent fouls
13.08
12.42
–
Match total
25.83
23.25
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.58
2.73
–
Opponent offsides
4.08
1.73
–
Match total
5.67
4.45
–
Possession
All games
51%
62%
–
Home games
57%
63%
–
Away games
46%
60%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = LaLiga 2026-2027 (119 games) · LaLiga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Elche
Scored · 14
0%
21%
7%
7%
29%
36%
Conceded · 20
15%
15%
20%
0%
20%
30%
Villarreal
Scored · 17
0%
12%
29%
6%
12%
41%
Conceded · 15
7%
7%
47%
13%
6%
20%
30%
Scored first
36%
36%
Goals after 75'
41%
Scored first: Elche 3 of 10, Villarreal 4 of 11 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · LaLiga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
Leading 2
Level 5
Trailing 5
0.92
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
At half-time
Leading 1
Level 8
Trailing 3
0.92
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1
Points won from losing positions in 7 · 9 games
8
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 3 · 7 games
8
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · LaLiga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
Latest Games