|
7 Dec 2026-2:45 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
Fiorentina 31%
Draw 24%
Cagliari 45%
1.3 – 1.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
11% chance
Most Likely Score
58%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
FIO · at home
CAG · away
1.17
Goals scored per game
1.17
2.17
Goals conceded per game
1.83
0.73x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.77x
1.44x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.15x
Average: 1.60 home goals and 1.51 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 11 + 11 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Missing Players
-
Injured - Back Injury
-
Injured - Jumpers Knee
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
43
17
33
3
20
42
27
25
28
30
32
1
36
15
22
2
14
4
8
70
31
19
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Juventus (H) 2-2 · 8 Nov 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Frosinone (H) 1-0 · 7 Nov 2026
Substitutes
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
W
D
L
L
D
W
D
L
L
L
D
W
L
L
0.82
2-3-6
PPG Overall
0.50
0-3-3
PPG at Home
1.20
2-0-3
PPG Away
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
D
W
W
W
L
1.45
5-1-5
PPG Overall
1.40
2-1-2
PPG at Home
1.50
3-0-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Cagliari away +200% on points per game vs Fiorentina at home (1.50 vs 0.50)
Rest & Schedule
29
days rest
Fiorentina 2-2 Juventus
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
30
days rest
Cagliari 1-0 Frosinone
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
11
6
5
Win %
18%
0%
40%
Goals per game
3.82
3.33
4.40
Scored
1.55
1.17
2.00
Conceded
2.27
2.17
2.40
Both teams scored
82%
83%
80%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
18%
17%
20%
xG
1.63
1.79
1.43
xGA
1.58
1.36
1.84
Overall
Home
Away
Played
11
5
6
Win %
45%
40%
50%
Goals per game
2.27
1.40
3.00
Scored
0.91
0.60
1.17
Conceded
1.36
0.80
1.83
Both teams scored
36%
20%
50%
Clean sheets
36%
40%
33%
Failed to score
27%
40%
17%
xG
1.24
0.82
1.59
xGA
1.89
2.02
1.78
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Fiorentina
FIO
Cagliari
CAG
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 11/11
100% 11/11
100%
–
Over 1.5
100% 11/11
55% 6/11
77%
85%
Over 2.5
91% 10/11
36% 4/11
64%
60%
Over 3.5
55% 6/11
18% 2/11
36%
32%
Over 4.5
18% 2/11
9% 1/11
14%
–
Under 2.5
9% 1/11
64% 7/11
36%
40%
Both teams score
BTTS
82% 9/11
36% 4/11
59%
58%
BTTS & win
18% 2/11
9% 1/11
14%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
73% 8/11
27% 3/11
50%
–
Fiorentina
FIO
Cagliari
CAG
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
82% 9/11
73% 8/11
77%
–
Over 1.5
55% 6/11
27% 3/11
41%
–
Over 2.5
18% 2/11
9% 1/11
14%
–
BTTS
36% 4/11
27% 3/11
32%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (110 games, 3.11 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
Fiorentina scored 7 in 6 home games
Cagliari scored 7 in 6 away games
Fiorentina
FIO
Cagliari
CAG
Scored over 0.5
82% 9/11
73% 8/11
Scored over 1.5
36% 4/11
18% 2/11
Scored over 2.5
18% 2/11
0% 0/11
Failed to score
18% 2/11
27% 3/11
Goals conceded per game at this venue
Fiorentina conceded 13 in 6 home games
Cagliari conceded 11 in 6 away games
Fiorentina
FIO
Cagliari
CAG
Conceded over 0.5
100% 11/11
64% 7/11
Conceded over 1.5
91% 10/11
36% 4/11
Conceded over 2.5
27% 3/11
18% 2/11
Clean sheets
0% 0/11
36% 4/11
Streaks
3
Unbeaten last loss 4 games ago
11
Conceded all 11 this season
9
Scored in a row
9
Both teams scored in a row
6
Over 2.5 goals in a row
1
Won last game
3
Scored in a row
3
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Fiorentina
FIO
Cagliari
CAG
League
Corners
Corners won
4.91
3.82
–
Corners conceded
4.73
6.55
–
Match total
9.64
10.36
9.75
Over 8.5
45% 5/11
64% 7/11
–
Over 9.5
36% 4/11
55% 6/11
–
Over 10.5
27% 3/11
45% 5/11
–
Cards
Cards
2.18
1.82
–
Opponent cards
2.00
1.18
–
Match total
4.18
3.00
3.33
Over 3.5
64% 7/11
36% 4/11
–
Over 4.5
45% 5/11
18% 2/11
–
Shots
Shots
16.91
10.91
–
Opponent shots
13.91
18.91
–
Match total
30.82
29.82
29.15
Shots on target
On target
5.09
4.00
–
Opponent on target
5.64
5.73
–
Match total
10.73
9.73
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.00
12.55
–
Opponent fouls
13.09
9.18
–
Match total
25.09
21.73
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.27
2.55
–
Opponent offsides
1.36
1.55
–
Match total
2.64
4.09
–
Possession
All games
46%
40%
–
Home games
48%
40%
–
Away games
44%
41%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (110 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Fiorentina
Scored · 17
6%
12%
12%
29%
23%
18%
Conceded · 25
8%
20%
20%
12%
20%
20%
Cagliari
Scored · 10
10%
40%
10%
10%
10%
20%
Conceded · 15
13%
7%
20%
13%
7%
40%
27%
Scored first
73%
18%
Goals after 75'
20%
Scored first: Fiorentina 3 of 11, Cagliari 8 of 11 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
Leading 1
Level 4
Trailing 6
0.64
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
33%
2 of 6
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
At half-time
Leading 3
Level 5
Trailing 3
1.27
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
8
Points won from losing positions in 10 · 5 games
0
10
Points dropped from winning positions in 6 · 8 games
8
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
7
5
3
3
15
12
3
18
8
5
2
4
16
14
2
17
9
5
1
5
10
15
-5
16
10
4
3
4
18
14
4
15
11
4
2
5
17
20
-3
14
···
13
4
1
6
11
16
-5
13
14
3
1
7
12
22
-10
10
15
2
3
6
17
25
-8
9
16
2
2
7
9
17
-8
8
17
2
2
7
16
29
-13
8
···
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