|
30 May 2027-12:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
Lazio 71%
Draw 15%
Fiorentina 14%
3.0 – 1.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-1
8% chance
Most Likely Score
81%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
LAZ · at home
FIO · away
2.00
Goals scored per game
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded per game
2.40
1.25x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.33x
0.66x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.50x
Average: 1.60 home goals and 1.51 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 11 + 11 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
35
17
25
37
15
24
21
16
14
9
11
43
17
33
3
20
42
27
25
28
30
32
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Napoli (A) 1-1 · 8 Nov 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Juventus (H) 2-2 · 8 Nov 2026
Substitutes
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
2.64
9-2-0
PPG Overall
2.60
4-1-0
PPG at Home
2.67
5-1-0
PPG Away
D
W
D
L
L
D
W
D
L
L
L
D
W
L
L
0.82
2-3-6
PPG Overall
0.50
0-3-3
PPG at Home
1.20
2-0-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Lazio at home +117% on points per game vs Fiorentina away (2.60 vs 1.20)
Rest & Schedule
203
days rest
Napoli 1-1 Lazio
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
203
days rest
Fiorentina 2-2 Juventus
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
11
5
6
Win %
82%
80%
83%
Goals per game
3.09
3.00
3.17
Scored
2.27
2.00
2.50
Conceded
0.82
1.00
0.67
Both teams scored
64%
80%
50%
Clean sheets
36%
20%
50%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
1.58
1.65
1.52
xGA
1.26
1.07
1.42
Overall
Home
Away
Played
11
6
5
Win %
18%
0%
40%
Goals per game
3.82
3.33
4.40
Scored
1.55
1.17
2.00
Conceded
2.27
2.17
2.40
Both teams scored
82%
83%
80%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
18%
17%
20%
xG
1.63
1.79
1.43
xGA
1.58
1.36
1.84
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lazio
LAZ
Fiorentina
FIO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 11/11
100% 11/11
100%
–
Over 1.5
82% 9/11
100% 11/11
91%
85%
Over 2.5
64% 7/11
91% 10/11
77%
60%
Over 3.5
27% 3/11
55% 6/11
41%
32%
Over 4.5
9% 1/11
18% 2/11
14%
–
Under 2.5
36% 4/11
9% 1/11
23%
40%
Both teams score
BTTS
64% 7/11
82% 9/11
73%
58%
BTTS & win
45% 5/11
18% 2/11
32%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
55% 6/11
73% 8/11
64%
–
Lazio
LAZ
Fiorentina
FIO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
64% 7/11
82% 9/11
73%
–
Over 1.5
36% 4/11
55% 6/11
45%
–
Over 2.5
9% 1/11
18% 2/11
14%
–
BTTS
18% 2/11
36% 4/11
27%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (110 games, 3.11 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
Lazio scored 10 in 5 home games
Fiorentina scored 10 in 5 away games
Lazio
LAZ
Fiorentina
FIO
Scored over 0.5
100% 11/11
82% 9/11
Scored over 1.5
73% 8/11
36% 4/11
Scored over 2.5
27% 3/11
18% 2/11
Failed to score
0% 0/11
18% 2/11
Goals conceded per game at this venue
Lazio conceded 5 in 5 home games
Fiorentina conceded 12 in 5 away games
Lazio
LAZ
Fiorentina
FIO
Conceded over 0.5
64% 7/11
100% 11/11
Conceded over 1.5
18% 2/11
91% 10/11
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/11
27% 3/11
Clean sheets
36% 4/11
0% 0/11
Streaks
11
Unbeaten all 11 this season
11
Scored all 11 this season
4
Conceded in a row
4
Both teams scored in a row
6
Longest win run this season
3
Unbeaten last loss 4 games ago
11
Conceded all 11 this season
9
Scored in a row
9
Both teams scored in a row
6
Over 2.5 goals in a row
Match Totals
Lazio
LAZ
Fiorentina
FIO
League
Corners
Corners won
4.82
4.91
–
Corners conceded
4.36
4.73
–
Match total
9.18
9.64
9.75
Over 8.5
64% 7/11
45% 5/11
–
Over 9.5
55% 6/11
36% 4/11
–
Over 10.5
45% 5/11
27% 3/11
–
Cards
Cards
1.55
2.18
–
Opponent cards
2.91
2.00
–
Match total
4.45
4.18
3.33
Over 3.5
64% 7/11
64% 7/11
–
Over 4.5
55% 6/11
45% 5/11
–
Shots
Shots
13.91
16.91
–
Opponent shots
11.91
13.91
–
Match total
25.82
30.82
29.15
Shots on target
On target
4.73
5.09
–
Opponent on target
4.27
5.64
–
Match total
9.00
10.73
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.09
12.00
–
Opponent fouls
11.82
13.09
–
Match total
22.91
25.09
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.27
1.27
–
Opponent offsides
2.36
1.36
–
Match total
3.64
2.64
–
Possession
All games
54%
46%
–
Home games
57%
48%
–
Away games
51%
44%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (110 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lazio
Scored · 25
16%
16%
16%
24%
12%
16%
Conceded · 9
11%
11%
11%
34%
22%
11%
Fiorentina
Scored · 17
6%
12%
12%
29%
23%
18%
Conceded · 25
8%
20%
20%
12%
20%
20%
82%
Scored first
27%
16%
Goals after 75'
18%
Scored first: Lazio 9 of 11, Fiorentina 3 of 11 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
Leading 6
Level 5
Trailing 0
2.09
points per game
At half-time
67%
4 of 6
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
At half-time
Leading 1
Level 4
Trailing 6
0.64
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
33%
2 of 6
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
6
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 10 games
8
4
Points dropped from winning positions in 11 · 6 games
10
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
9
2
0
25
9
16
29
2
9
1
1
28
13
15
28
3
8
3
0
31
10
21
27
···
13
4
1
6
11
16
-5
13
14
3
1
7
12
22
-10
10
15
2
3
6
17
25
-8
9
16
2
2
7
9
17
-8
8
17
2
2
7
16
29
-13
8
···
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