days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
Le Mans 24%
Draw 28%
Paris FC 48%
0.9 – 1.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
15% chance
Most Likely Score
38%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Le Mans · at home
PAR · away
1.40
Goals scored per game
1.00
1.80
Goals conceded per game
1.00
0.86x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.76x
1.36x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.61x
Average: 1.63 home goals and 1.32 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2026-2027
Based on 10 + 10 Ligue 1 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
98
5
17
26
29
22
10
23
18
25
14
1
6
42
14
27
33
20
23
7
10
9
Last game lineup
3-1-4-2
vs Monaco (H) 1-1 · 8 Nov 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Auxerre (A) 0-1 · 7 Nov 2026
Substitutes
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
L
D
L
L
D
L
D
L
L
W
D
D
L
D
0.80
1-5-4
PPG Overall
1.20
1-3-1
PPG at Home
0.40
0-2-3
PPG Away
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
D
W
W
D
2.00
6-2-2
PPG Overall
2.60
4-1-0
PPG at Home
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Paris FC away +17% on points per game vs Le Mans at home (1.40 vs 1.20)
Rest & Schedule
111
days rest
Le Mans 1-1 Monaco
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
112
days rest
Auxerre 0-1 Paris FC
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
10%
20%
0%
Goals per game
3.10
3.20
3.00
Scored
1.20
1.40
1.00
Conceded
1.90
1.80
2.00
Both teams scored
80%
80%
80%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
20%
20%
20%
xG
1.40
1.33
1.47
xGA
2.00
1.63
2.37
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
60%
80%
40%
Goals per game
2.70
3.40
2.00
Scored
1.70
2.40
1.00
Conceded
1.00
1.00
1.00
Both teams scored
50%
60%
40%
Clean sheets
40%
40%
40%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
xG
1.68
1.91
1.46
xGA
0.99
1.11
0.87
Ligue 1 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Le Mans
LE
Paris FC
PAR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 10/10
80% 8/10
90%
–
Over 1.5
100% 10/10
60% 6/10
80%
80%
Over 2.5
60% 6/10
60% 6/10
60%
57%
Over 3.5
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
35%
33%
Over 4.5
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
15%
–
Under 2.5
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
40%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
80% 8/10
50% 5/10
65%
59%
BTTS & win
10% 1/10
40% 4/10
25%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
50% 5/10
50% 5/10
50%
–
Le Mans
LE
Paris FC
PAR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 8/10
60% 6/10
70%
–
Over 1.5
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
35%
–
Over 2.5
20% 2/10
20% 2/10
20%
–
BTTS
40% 4/10
20% 2/10
30%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2026-2027 (90 games, 2.96 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
Le Mans scored 7 in 5 home games
Paris FC scored 5 in 5 away games
Le Mans
LE
Paris FC
PAR
Scored over 0.5
80% 8/10
70% 7/10
Scored over 1.5
40% 4/10
50% 5/10
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/10
40% 4/10
Failed to score
20% 2/10
30% 3/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
Le Mans conceded 9 in 5 home games
Paris FC conceded 5 in 5 away games
Le Mans
LE
Paris FC
PAR
Conceded over 0.5
100% 10/10
60% 6/10
Conceded over 1.5
60% 6/10
30% 3/10
Conceded over 2.5
30% 3/10
10% 1/10
Clean sheets
0% 0/10
40% 4/10
Streaks
Match Totals
Le Mans
LE
Paris FC
PAR
League
Corners
Corners won
3.00
3.60
–
Corners conceded
5.90
3.40
–
Match total
8.90
7.00
9.10
Over 8.5
40% 4/10
20% 2/10
–
Over 9.5
40% 4/10
10% 1/10
–
Over 10.5
40% 4/10
10% 1/10
–
Cards
Cards
2.30
2.20
–
Opponent cards
1.70
1.90
–
Match total
4.00
4.10
3.60
Over 3.5
60% 6/10
60% 6/10
–
Over 4.5
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
–
Shots
Shots
10.70
13.50
–
Opponent shots
14.90
9.30
–
Match total
25.60
22.80
26.53
Shots on target
On target
3.60
4.90
–
Opponent on target
5.40
3.20
–
Match total
9.00
8.10
–
Fouls
Fouls
14.90
13.90
–
Opponent fouls
10.70
13.10
–
Match total
25.60
27.00
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.90
1.40
–
Opponent offsides
2.00
0.70
–
Match total
3.90
2.10
–
Possession
All games
46%
52%
–
Home games
51%
50%
–
Away games
41%
53%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2026-2027 (90 games) · Ligue 1 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Le Mans
Scored · 12
17%
8%
25%
42%
0%
8%
Conceded · 19
5%
11%
26%
21%
21%
16%
Paris FC
Scored · 17
12%
18%
23%
12%
12%
23%
Conceded · 10
10%
10%
0%
10%
40%
30%
40%
Scored first
88%
8%
Goals after 75'
24%
Scored first: Le Mans 4 of 10, Paris FC 7 of 8 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
Leading 2
Level 4
Trailing 4
1.00
points per game
At half-time
50%
1 of 2
Led at HT, won
25%
1 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
At half-time
Leading 6
Level 4
Trailing 0
2.20
points per game
At half-time
83%
5 of 6
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
2
Points won from losing positions in 6 · 2 games
0
8
Points dropped from winning positions in 5 · 7 games
3
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
7
2
1
22
10
12
23
2
6
3
1
14
7
7
21
3
6
2
2
17
10
7
20
4
6
0
4
22
14
8
18
5
5
2
3
15
9
6
17
···
15
2
2
6
9
19
-10
8
16
2
2
6
7
17
-10
8
17
1
5
4
12
19
-7
8
18
0
2
8
9
22
-13
2
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