days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
Paris FC 47%
Draw 23%
Marseille 30%
1.8 – 1.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
11% chance
Most Likely Score
60%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
PAR · at home
MAR · away
2.40
Goals scored per game
1.80
1.00
Goals conceded per game
1.20
1.47x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.36x
0.76x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.73x
Average: 1.63 home goals and 1.32 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2026-2027
Based on 10 + 10 Ligue 1 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
1
6
42
14
27
33
20
23
7
10
9
1
25
21
4
22
23
6
14
8
77
9
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Auxerre (A) 0-1 · 7 Nov 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Lens (A) 1-2 · 8 Nov 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
D
W
W
D
2.00
6-2-2
PPG Overall
2.60
4-1-0
PPG at Home
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Away
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
L
L
W
1.80
6-0-4
PPG Overall
1.80
3-0-2
PPG at Home
1.80
3-0-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Paris FC at home +44% on points per game vs Marseille away (2.60 vs 1.80)
Rest & Schedule
196
days rest
Auxerre 0-1 Paris FC
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
195
days rest
Lens 1-2 Marseille
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
60%
80%
40%
Goals per game
2.70
3.40
2.00
Scored
1.70
2.40
1.00
Conceded
1.00
1.00
1.00
Both teams scored
50%
60%
40%
Clean sheets
40%
40%
40%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
xG
1.68
1.91
1.46
xGA
0.99
1.11
0.87
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
60%
60%
60%
Goals per game
3.60
4.20
3.00
Scored
2.20
2.60
1.80
Conceded
1.40
1.60
1.20
Both teams scored
50%
60%
40%
Clean sheets
30%
40%
20%
Failed to score
20%
0%
40%
xG
1.70
1.61
1.80
xGA
2.19
2.58
1.80
Ligue 1 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Paris FC
PAR
Marseille
MAR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 8/10
100% 10/10
90%
–
Over 1.5
60% 6/10
90% 9/10
75%
80%
Over 2.5
60% 6/10
60% 6/10
60%
57%
Over 3.5
30% 3/10
40% 4/10
35%
33%
Over 4.5
20% 2/10
30% 3/10
25%
–
Under 2.5
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
40%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
50% 5/10
50% 5/10
50%
59%
BTTS & win
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
35%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
50% 5/10
50% 5/10
50%
–
Paris FC
PAR
Marseille
MAR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
60% 6/10
60% 6/10
60%
–
Over 1.5
30% 3/10
50% 5/10
40%
–
Over 2.5
20% 2/10
20% 2/10
20%
–
BTTS
20% 2/10
30% 3/10
25%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2026-2027 (90 games, 2.96 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
Paris FC scored 12 in 5 home games
Marseille scored 9 in 5 away games
Paris FC
PAR
Marseille
MAR
Scored over 0.5
70% 7/10
80% 8/10
Scored over 1.5
50% 5/10
70% 7/10
Scored over 2.5
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
Failed to score
30% 3/10
20% 2/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
Paris FC conceded 5 in 5 home games
Marseille conceded 6 in 5 away games
Paris FC
PAR
Marseille
MAR
Conceded over 0.5
60% 6/10
70% 7/10
Conceded over 1.5
30% 3/10
50% 5/10
Conceded over 2.5
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
Clean sheets
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
Match Totals
Paris FC
PAR
Marseille
MAR
League
Corners
Corners won
3.60
4.50
–
Corners conceded
3.40
4.10
–
Match total
7.00
8.60
9.10
Over 8.5
20% 2/10
50% 5/10
–
Over 9.5
10% 1/10
30% 3/10
–
Over 10.5
10% 1/10
10% 1/10
–
Cards
Cards
2.20
1.60
–
Opponent cards
1.90
2.00
–
Match total
4.10
3.60
3.60
Over 3.5
60% 6/10
50% 5/10
–
Over 4.5
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
–
Shots
Shots
13.50
13.20
–
Opponent shots
9.30
16.00
–
Match total
22.80
29.20
26.53
Shots on target
On target
4.90
4.70
–
Opponent on target
3.20
5.70
–
Match total
8.10
10.40
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.90
11.20
–
Opponent fouls
13.10
11.60
–
Match total
27.00
22.80
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.40
1.38
–
Opponent offsides
0.70
1.88
–
Match total
2.10
3.25
–
Possession
All games
52%
56%
–
Home games
50%
53%
–
Away games
53%
59%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2026-2027 (90 games) · Ligue 1 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Paris FC
Scored · 17
12%
18%
23%
12%
12%
23%
Conceded · 10
10%
10%
0%
10%
40%
30%
Marseille
Scored · 22
18%
5%
14%
27%
9%
27%
Conceded · 14
22%
14%
0%
14%
21%
29%
88%
Scored first
50%
24%
Goals after 75'
27%
Scored first: Paris FC 7 of 8, Marseille 5 of 10 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
Leading 6
Level 4
Trailing 0
2.20
points per game
At half-time
83%
5 of 6
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
At half-time
Leading 3
Level 5
Trailing 2
1.40
points per game
At half-time
100%
3 of 3
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
0
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 5 games
3
3
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 6 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
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