days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
Toulouse 23%
Draw 27%
Stade Brestois 29 50%
0.9 – 1.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
14% chance
Most Likely Score
41%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
TOU · at home
BRE · away
1.20
Goals scored per game
1.60
1.20
Goals conceded per game
1.20
0.73x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.21x
0.91x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.73x
Average: 1.63 home goals and 1.32 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2026-2027
Based on 10 + 10 Ligue 1 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
16
12
2
3
94
11
14
23
8
20
9
1
2
4
29
70
8
13
17
23
11
19
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Strasbourg (H) 3-1 · 6 Nov 2026
Substitutes
44
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Lyon (H) 2-0 · 8 Nov 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
D
L
D
L
1.30
3-4-3
PPG Overall
1.40
2-1-2
PPG at Home
1.20
1-3-1
PPG Away
W
W
L
D
W
W
W
L
D
W
L
L
W
D
D
1.50
4-3-3
PPG Overall
1.40
2-1-2
PPG at Home
1.60
2-2-1
PPG Away
Venue form: Stade Brestois 29 away +14% on points per game vs Toulouse at home (1.60 vs 1.40)
Rest & Schedule
134
days rest
Toulouse 3-1 Strasbourg
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
132
days rest
Stade Brestois 29 2-0 Lyon
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
40%
20%
Goals per game
2.90
2.40
3.40
Scored
1.50
1.20
1.80
Conceded
1.40
1.20
1.60
Both teams scored
50%
40%
60%
Clean sheets
20%
20%
20%
Failed to score
40%
60%
20%
xG
1.82
2.05
1.59
xGA
1.29
1.09
1.48
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
40%
40%
40%
Goals per game
3.00
3.20
2.80
Scored
1.80
2.00
1.60
Conceded
1.20
1.20
1.20
Both teams scored
70%
60%
80%
Clean sheets
20%
20%
20%
Failed to score
10%
20%
0%
xG
2.01
2.52
1.51
xGA
1.25
0.98
1.52
Ligue 1 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Toulouse
TOU
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 9/10
100% 10/10
95%
–
Over 1.5
80% 8/10
90% 9/10
85%
80%
Over 2.5
60% 6/10
60% 6/10
60%
57%
Over 3.5
50% 5/10
30% 3/10
40%
33%
Over 4.5
10% 1/10
10% 1/10
10%
–
Under 2.5
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
40%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
50% 5/10
70% 7/10
60%
59%
BTTS & win
20% 2/10
20% 2/10
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
50% 5/10
60% 6/10
55%
–
Toulouse
TOU
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
50% 5/10
90% 9/10
70%
–
Over 1.5
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
35%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/10
10% 1/10
5%
–
BTTS
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
15%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2026-2027 (90 games, 2.96 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
Toulouse scored 6 in 5 home games
Stade Brestois 29 scored 8 in 5 away games
Toulouse
TOU
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Scored over 0.5
60% 6/10
90% 9/10
Scored over 1.5
60% 6/10
60% 6/10
Scored over 2.5
30% 3/10
10% 1/10
Failed to score
40% 4/10
10% 1/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
Toulouse conceded 6 in 5 home games
Stade Brestois 29 conceded 6 in 5 away games
Toulouse
TOU
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Conceded over 0.5
80% 8/10
80% 8/10
Conceded over 1.5
60% 6/10
40% 4/10
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/10
0% 0/10
Clean sheets
20% 2/10
20% 2/10
Streaks
1
Won last game
2
Conceded in a row
2
Won in a row
6
Scored in a row
2
Clean sheets in a row
Match Totals
Toulouse
TOU
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
League
Corners
Corners won
4.30
4.00
–
Corners conceded
3.80
5.10
–
Match total
8.10
9.10
9.10
Over 8.5
30% 3/10
80% 8/10
–
Over 9.5
20% 2/10
50% 5/10
–
Over 10.5
20% 2/10
20% 2/10
–
Cards
Cards
2.20
1.40
–
Opponent cards
1.70
2.00
–
Match total
3.90
3.40
3.60
Over 3.5
50% 5/10
20% 2/10
–
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
20% 2/10
–
Shots
Shots
12.60
16.10
–
Opponent shots
13.30
11.80
–
Match total
25.90
27.90
26.53
Shots on target
On target
4.70
5.80
–
Opponent on target
3.80
3.40
–
Match total
8.50
9.20
–
Fouls
Fouls
15.80
14.40
–
Opponent fouls
13.40
13.20
–
Match total
29.20
27.60
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.90
1.50
–
Opponent offsides
1.00
1.90
–
Match total
2.90
3.40
–
Possession
All games
51%
46%
–
Home games
53%
47%
–
Away games
49%
45%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2026-2027 (90 games) · Ligue 1 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Toulouse
Scored · 15
7%
0%
7%
53%
13%
20%
Conceded · 14
7%
22%
21%
0%
29%
21%
Stade Brestois 29
Scored · 18
22%
28%
11%
11%
11%
17%
Conceded · 12
17%
0%
8%
25%
25%
25%
44%
Scored first
80%
20%
Goals after 75'
17%
Scored first: Toulouse 4 of 9, Stade Brestois 29 8 of 10 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
Leading 1
Level 6
Trailing 3
0.90
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
67%
2 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
At half-time
Leading 6
Level 3
Trailing 1
2.10
points per game
At half-time
50%
3 of 6
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
2
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 5 games
2
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 4 · 8 games
10
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
8
5
1
4
21
21
0
16
9
4
3
3
9
8
1
15
10
4
3
3
18
12
6
15
11
4
1
5
17
15
2
13
12
3
4
3
15
14
1
13
13
3
1
6
13
24
-11
10
14
3
1
6
18
22
-4
10
···
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